Sean Nolan, well done on your article!
I am also an "idealist" who thinks that the future of work is about 🤖️ + 👤️ = 💪️. See here.
As you mention it more or less directly, it also all depends on the timeframe.
Automation is not the enemy… For now…
Automation and its consequences is not a new theme. The question of the future of work is not a new one either.
“The major domestic challenge of the 1960s is to maintain full employment at a time when automation… is replacing men.” — President John F. Kennedy
“The combination of the computer and the automated self-regulating machine is leading to a new era of production which requires progressively less human labour.” — The Ad Hoc Committee on the Triple Revolution in a memo to President Lyndon Johnson
“The next wave of economic dislocations won’t come from overseas. It will come from the relentless pace of automation that makes a lot of good middle-class jobs obsolete.” — President Barack Obama
And, despite that, nobody has the definitive answer.
It's all about time and speed!
“Anyone making confident predictions about anything having to do with the future of artificial intelligence is either kidding you or kidding themselves.” — Andrew McAfee
I think it is because the AI revolution is different from the previous waves of automation:
- Speed: Moore’s law vs. our capacity to adapt, learn, change…
- Self-sustaining/replicating: machines learn, machines make machines…
- Breadth: it's not just one industry that is impacted; most are…
So, yes, it is not the enemy for now… but in 10, 20, 50… years? It could be an enemy we created.
“I am less concerned with Terminator scenarios. If current trends continue, people are going to rise up well before the machines do.” — Andrew McAfee
So, I believe this is up to us (workers, citizens, consumers) to influence the future and make it a sustainable one and to ensure that it is really about 🤖️ + 👤️ = 💪️!
Some good articles on a less optimistic future:
The AI Threat Isn't Skynet. It's the End of the Middle Class
In February 1975, a group of geneticists gathered in a tiny town on the central coast of California to decide if their…
The impact on jobs: Automation and anxiety | The Economist
SITTING IN AN office in San Francisco, Igor Barani calls up some medical scans on his screen. He is the chief executive…
Here's how to use AI to make America great again
Labor economists have been pointing out the employment consequences of new digital technologies for several years, and…